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June 10, 2019
Should I buy an Approved Retirement Fund (ARF) or Annuity? Unless we are retiring from a defined benefit (DB) pension scheme, we will have this decision to make in regards to how to access our pension benefits. Once we take out the tax-free lump sum, we will have this decision to make with the balance. It is a big decision with multiple complexities involved, both financial and emotional.Key Takeaways
Do I want the predictable route or do I want the less predictable but potentially more lucrative route? Do I want the peace of mind knowing that I'll get €x every month for the rest of my days, or do I want the potential to get more every month and potentially leave a legacy?
Do I want a piggyback down Everest or do I want to navigate it on my own two feet? That last sentence might seem odd but bear with me. Before I outline the considerations I believe we should make before deciding on annuity or ARF, I want to put this decision in a little context.I was speaking at a recent 'Point of Retirement' event in Croke Park. As part of my piece, I compared managing one's income in retirement to climbing and descending Everest. I made the comparison that when we are in 'accumulation' phase of building and preparing for leaving full-time work we are on the 'ascent' of the mountain. We reach the peak at the time we depart full time employment. However, as anyone who has ever climbed a mountain will confirm - the descent is far from easy. One stumble and it could be damaging or indeed fatal. This is a much lesser risk when we are ascending, a fall or stumble has a much lesser probability of significantly screwing up our accumulation plan.While some could argue it is slightly dramatic, I do believe that managing our income in retirement is very similar to ascending and then descending Everest. Given the potential dangers, the impact of a stumble financially, and the significant importance of staying on track draws many comparisons. One of the attendees at the session sent me a link that very night, which was breaking news of the Irish climber who had unfortunately gone missing on the descent of Everest, only for another Irish climber to be confirmed dead a week later, again on the descent. It was obviously a pure (and really awful) coincidence but it surely hammered home the point about the dangers of descending, or in this situation, of navigating our 'spending phase'.Now on to the considerations.
Now there's a million-euro question. This is one we'll be revisiting due to its significance. In essence, if we knew the answer to this, it would make the 'spending phase' far easier. That is for the simple reason that we would know how long we need to make our money last when thinking about generating income in retirement. And that is the single biggest challenge with managing our retirement income, we have no idea how long we'll need it for!Sure, we can look at average life expectancy figures and make some sort of informed estimate based on that, but as with all averages, there are wild variations around that norm! In addition, the averages keep going up!In 1960 the following were the life expectancy of males and females from age 65:
By 2016 these avearages had shifted to:
Developments in health, health-care, standards of living have resulted in an additional 5.5 extra years for both sexes over past 60-odd years, or 1 year per decade roughly.The significance of the duration you will live is huge if we are trying to decide between an ARF or Annuity for several reasons. This will impact on the duration over which you will need to generate the income, AND the impact that inflation will have over the period of your retirement. Check out Blog 112, The Spice Girls – 20 Years Of Inflation for more on the impact of inflation.So now that we've established a little context it's time to jump right in and explore the 2 options, Annuity or ARF, 'Costly Certainty' or 'Uncertain Abundance'!
By choosing an Annuity, you are handing the entirety of your pot over to an insurance company, who in turn guarantee to pay you (and as an option to pay a partner or dependant should they survive you) a set income each and every month, quarter or year as you wish. Why choose an annuity?
Like everything in life there are pros and cons to either option here. Below are the main cons of choosing an annuity, in no particular order:
Annuity rates were upwards of 10% in the 80's,. For example, if you had 250,000 of a pot you could buy an annuity and receive 25,000 per year for life. Massive. Now you are looking at annuity of approximately 3.5%, or instead of 25,000 per year, you'll get 9,000 per year. If you die, your partner, if they survive you, will then get 50% of what you were getting, or 4,500 per year. Personally, I believe that some of the negative perspectives of pensions is as a result of these very rates. If someone has a pension pot of €250,000 they may feel that they have a really significant pension. However, when it is converted into annual income based on these sort of rates it might not seem so fantastic a sum of money.
It is largely due to these reducing annuity rates that those who are planning their retirement income are turning their back on annuities. It is for that reason that the area of retirement income planning is becoming a profession within a profession. I have read a half dozen books on this specific subject, and there are a dozen more credible ones if you were of the mind to do so! It is a fascinating topic, optimising one's income draw-down from a volatile asset class over an unknown period of time, while also striving to leave a meaningful legacy when one does eventually die! No mean feat, and it requires a lot of considerations as you can imagine, and as I'm sure some of you can testify. Anyway, here are some of the reasons.
So is an ARF a perfect solution? Well, let's have a look at the other side of this coin.
We covered The Pension Draw down 4% Rule in Blog 83 and Podcast102. The 4% rule is based on Bill Bengen's research of a couple of decades ago. His research suggested that an ARF, invested in a portfolio of Equities and Bonds, could comfortably afford to support an income draw-down of 4% per year and for it to last for most people's life-times, irrespective of what the most volatile markets could throw at it. I am really looking forward to sharing some more recent research in this whole area, and with getting slightly technical with you when we dig deeper on that particular topic in the coming weeks....so tune in if you are into that!
We've looked at the pros and cons of annuities and of an ARF. What is most appealing to you? It is a personal choice whether you choose an ARF or Annuity. Financially ARFs may stand to provide you with a higher income, with the upside of leaving a legacy when you die. However, annuities are a far more comfortable ride. It is a personal choice. Oh, there is also the idea that an effective strategy is one where an investor would buy enough of an annuity to cover their essential expenses. They would then avail of an ARF for the rest of their pot (assuming there is some left over) which would be maximsed to deliver their income which would be used to fund their discretionary spending, the non-essentials.Pensions Authority ARFPensions Authority Annuity
It's one we will come back to in the near future but sometimes, a little from 'column A', and a little from 'column B' is indeed a worthy strategy for those who want a balance of both camps.When you need help in developing your own retirement income strategy, and need an expert practitioner, I'd be delighted to explore if we might be a good fit for you.Thanks for reading,Paddy RPA | QFA | APA | Coach
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Informed Decisions are one of Ireland’s only remaining independent financial advice firms. We specialise in retirement & investment planning for successful individuals, so that our clients only have to retire once.